INFRA 2014
1er au 3 décembre, Palais des Congrès, Montréal
Biographie du conférencier : Pierre Babinsky, Bureau d'Assurance du Canada
Possédant un baccalauréat en Études internationales et stratégiques, ainsi que des études supérieures en science politique, Pierre Babinsky a développé au cours des quinze dernières années une solide expertise en communication et en relations publiques, notamment dans les domaines de la défense nationale, de la sécurité publique et des relations gouvernementales. Il a de plus géré plusieurs projets humanitaires et de développement relativement au droit et à l’éducation dans différentes régions du monde, notamment en Amérique centrale, en Afrique et dans le Sud-Est asiatique. M. Babinsky est entré en fonction au BAC en mars 2013. À titre de directeur des communications et des affaires publiques pour le Québec, il gère l’ensemble des communications du Bureau d’assurance du Canada et du Groupement des assureurs automobiles.
Résumé de la conférence
The municipal Risk assessment Tool is a prospective, top-down, statistical tool which allows Municipalities to understand the risk of sewer back-up from occuring. The risk formula, unique to each municipality, uses three types of data to derive validated risk indicators.
Those indicators are then validated and weighed to their contribution to risk of failure resulting in sanitary sewer back-ups.
Data includes insurance sewer back-up claims, detailed municipal storm and sanitary sewer data (based on the tool data standards) and climate information, both updated IDF curves and climate model-derived IDF curves. The 850 risk indicators are grouped in three types of index, vulnerability, exposure and mitigation.
The statistical analysis determines the best risk indicators of failure. Once developped for the areas where insurance claims have occured, the risk formula is then applied to all the spatial clusters within the municipality and linked to a GIS visualization application.
Future climate is integrated by climate-model generated IDF curves. Instead of using an ensemble of climate models and averaging the results, the tool illustrates the zone of uncertainty by developping two sets of future IDF curves by climate models time horizon which are 2020 and 2050. A peer-reviewed methodology has been developped for the selection of climate models used to derive the IDF curves. The IDF’s curves are illustrating for each time horizon the best and worst case scenarios illustrating visually the future climate zones of uncertainty.
The tool output allows municipalities with a single statistical tool measure the sensitivity of the urban drainage system to changing climate, helping guide investments and areas of priority study and work.
